{"id":67075,"date":"2025-09-16T13:54:48","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T20:54:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energi.media\/?p=67075"},"modified":"2025-09-16T13:54:48","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T20:54:48","slug":"declines-in-output-from-existing-oil-and-gas-fields-have-gathered-speed-with-implications-for-markets-and-energy-security","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energi.media\/news\/declines-in-output-from-existing-oil-and-gas-fields-have-gathered-speed-with-implications-for-markets-and-energy-security\/","title":{"rendered":"Declines in output from existing oil and gas fields have gathered speed, with implications for markets and energy security"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>This article was published by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/news\/declines-in-output-from-existing-oil-and-gas-fields-have-gathered-speed-with-implications-for-markets-and-energy-security\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">International Energy Agency<\/a> on Sept. 16, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"m-block__content\">\n<h4 class=\"f-title-7\">Without continued investment in these fields, the world would lose the equivalent of Brazil and Norway\u2019s combined production from the global oil balance each year<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"m-block__content f-rte f-rte--block\">\n<p>The average rate at which oil and gas fields\u2019 output declines over time has significantly accelerated globally, largely due to higher reliance on shale and deep offshore resources, meaning that companies must work much harder than before just to maintain production at today\u2019s levels, according to a new\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/the-implications-of-oil-and-gas-field-decline-rates\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IEA report<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The international conversation over the future of oil and gas often focuses on demand trends while the factors affecting supply receive considerably less attention. The new IEA report,\u00a0<em>The Implications of Oil and Gas Field Decline Rates,\u00a0<\/em>seeks to rebalance this debate by drawing on previous groundbreaking IEA analysis on decline rates and exploring what has changed. The new analysis draws on production data from around 15 000 oil and gas fields from around the world.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOnly a small portion of upstream oil and gas investment is used to meet increases in demand while nearly 90 per cent of upstream investment annually is dedicated to offsetting losses of supply at existing fields,\u201d said IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. \u201cDecline rates are the elephant in the room for any discussion of investment needs in oil and gas, and our new analysis shows that they have accelerated in recent years. In the case of oil, an absence of upstream investment would remove the equivalent of Brazil and Norway\u2019s combined production each year from the global market balance. The situation means that the industry has to run much faster just to stand still. And careful attention needs to be paid to the potential consequences for market balances, energy security and emissions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Decline rates vary widely across field types and geographies. Onshore supergiant oil fields in the Middle East decline at less than 2 per cent per year, while smaller offshore fields in Europe average more than 15\u00a0 per cent per year, according to the report. Tight oil and shale gas decline even more steeply: without investment, output falls by more than 35 per cent over one year and a further 15 per cent over a second year.<\/p>\n<p>In 2010, a halt in upstream investment would have cut oil supply by just under 4\u00a0million barrels per day (mb\/d) each year. Today the equivalent figure is 5.5\u00a0mb\/d, while natural gas decline rates have risen from 180\u00a0billion cubic metres (bcm) per year to 270\u00a0bcm.<\/p>\n<p>Against this backdrop, keeping global oil and gas production constant over time would require the development of new resources. Even with continued spending on existing fields, the IEA\u2019s analysis shows that more than 45 mb\/d of oil and nearly 2\u00a0000 bcm of gas from new conventional fields would be required by 2050 to maintain production at today\u2019s levels. This would be the equivalent of adding the total oil and gas production from all of the top three producers combined. The amounts could be reduced if oil and gas demand were to come down.<\/p>\n<p>The new report also highlights that it has taken almost 20 years on average to move from issuing an exploration licence for oil and gas until first production, including nearly a decade to discover new fields and a further decade for appraisal, approval and construction.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>This article was published by the International Energy Agency on Sept. 16, 2025. Without continued investment in these fields, the world would lose the equivalent of Brazil and Norway\u2019s combined production from the global oil <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/energi.media\/news\/declines-in-output-from-existing-oil-and-gas-fields-have-gathered-speed-with-implications-for-markets-and-energy-security\/\" title=\"Declines in output from existing oil and gas fields have gathered speed, with implications for markets and energy security\">[Read more]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":67076,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[41,14,95,565,16],"class_list":{"0":"post-67075","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-energy","9":"tag-featured","10":"tag-fossil-fuels","11":"tag-iea","12":"tag-oil-and-gas"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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