{"id":66822,"date":"2025-06-26T09:57:35","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T16:57:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energi.media\/?p=66822"},"modified":"2025-06-26T09:57:35","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T16:57:35","slug":"electricity-use-for-commercial-computing-could-surpass-space-cooling-ventilation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energi.media\/news\/electricity-use-for-commercial-computing-could-surpass-space-cooling-ventilation\/","title":{"rendered":"Electricity use for commercial computing could surpass space cooling, ventilation"},"content":{"rendered":"

This article was published by the US Energy Information Administration<\/a> on June 25, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n

By Courtney Sourmehi<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

In our\u00a0Annual Energy Outlook 2025<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(AEO2025) Reference case, we project the electricity consumed for commercial computing will increase faster than any other end use in buildings. Computing accounted for an estimated 8% of commercial sector electricity consumption in 2024 and grows to 20% by 2050. Ultimately, more electricity could be consumed by computing than for any other end use in the commercial sector, including lighting, space cooling, and ventilation.<\/p>\n

\"electricity<\/p>\n

Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0Annual Energy Outlook 2025<\/em><\/a>\u00a0Reference case
\nData values:\u00a0<\/strong>Commercial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

We expect commercial computing growth will outpace computing efficiency improvements which, in the past, have moderated the growth in electricity consumption associated with computers. Commercial computing electricity demand growth is significant enough in our projections to contribute to a reversal in the trend in declining commercial electricity intensity, as measured in kilowatthours consumed per square foot. Many of our assumptions about future energy consumption are based on\u00a0average energy consumption<\/a>\u00a0per unit of commercial floorspace.<\/p>\n

\"annual<\/p>\n

Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(CBECS) and\u00a0Annual Energy Outlook 2025<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(AEO2025) Reference case
\nData values:\u00a0<\/strong>CBECS<\/a>\u00a0and AEO2025:\u00a0Commercial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

Computing includes energy consumption from data center servers, desktop and laptop computers, and monitors in commercial spaces. Data center computing is significantly more energy intensive than computing in general. By 2050, as much as 7% of all U.S. commercial floorspace requires additional energy to meet data center demand across most building types.<\/p>\n

Because data centers generate heat and require more air exchange, the increase in data center computing also requires more commercial ventilation and space cooling. These uses are sensitive to assumptions about population migration and the weather. Without computing demand, ventilation and space cooling would still grow but at slower rates.<\/p>\n

Much of what we know about how U.S. commercial buildings use energy is informed by our\u00a0Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(CBECS). Data center equipment is found in both standalone data center buildings and in on-premises data center rooms that are part of most building types. The latest CBECS shows that data center rooms were most prevalent in healthcare and large office buildings.<\/p>\n

\"data<\/p>\n

Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(CBECS) 2018
\nData values:\u00a0<\/strong>2018 CBECS public use microdata file<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

In our AEO2025 projections, much of the growth in data centers is in office buildings and in the\u00a0other<\/em>\u00a0building category, which includes standalone data centers. In our Reference case, we make no additional assumptions about revolutionary technologies such as the accelerating expansion of highly energy-intensive artificial intelligence (AI) or, conversely, initiatives that may moderate the energy consumption of data centers generally or AI specifically.<\/p>\n

\"U.S.<\/p>\n

Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0Annual Energy Outlook 2025<\/em><\/a>\u00a0Reference case<\/div>\n
\n

Our projections are benchmarked to sectoral consumption data and forecasts from our\u00a0State Energy Data System<\/em><\/a>,\u00a0Monthly Energy Review<\/em><\/a>, and\u00a0Short-Term Energy Outlook<\/em><\/a>. Since these consumption measures include all commercial sector activity, including energy use for AI, cryptocurrency mining, and data centers, the energy consumption associated with these uses is implicitly represented in our AEO projections.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This article was published by the US Energy Information Administration on June 25, 2025. By Courtney Sourmehi In our\u00a0Annual Energy Outlook 2025\u00a0(AEO2025) Reference case, we project the electricity consumed for commercial computing will increase faster [Read more]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":66823,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2871,891,103,528,41,14],"class_list":{"0":"post-66822","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-data-centers","9":"tag-eia","10":"tag-electricity","11":"tag-electrification","12":"tag-energy","13":"tag-featured"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\ncomputing - Thoughtful Journalism About Energy's Future<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The US EIA projects the electricity consumed for commercial computing will increase faster than any other end use in buildings.\" 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