{"id":66324,"date":"2025-03-17T10:17:19","date_gmt":"2025-03-17T17:17:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energi.media\/?p=66324"},"modified":"2025-03-17T10:17:19","modified_gmt":"2025-03-17T17:17:19","slug":"opinion-trumps-potential-embrace-of-continentalist-geopolitics-poses-grave-risks-to-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energi.media\/opinion\/opinion-trumps-potential-embrace-of-continentalist-geopolitics-poses-grave-risks-to-canada\/","title":{"rendered":"Opinion: Trump\u2019s potential embrace of \u2018continentalist geopolitics\u2019 poses grave risks to Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"

This article was published by The Conversation<\/a> on March 17, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n

By Michael Williams<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

In the few weeks since United States President Donald Trump returned to the White House, world leaders and commentators have struggled to\u00a0make sense<\/a>\u00a0of his approach to foreign policy, including tariffs, alliance renegotiations and\u00a0threats of territorial appropriation<\/a>.<\/p>\n

No one is sure how much is bluff or\u00a0negotiating tactics<\/a>, nor how much is deadly serious.<\/p>\n

For some, Trump\u2019s foreign policy is simply incoherent, but most try to fit his approach into the\u00a0familiar choice<\/a>\u00a0between isolationism and internationalism.<\/p>\n

But there\u2019s a third possibility: Trump\u2019s second presidency marks a contemporary twist on an older form of continentalist geopolitics with important implications for Canada and the world.<\/p>\n

\u2018Great Powers\u2019<\/h2>\n

Although it has been largely missing from foreign policy debates in the post-Second World War era,\u00a0continentalist geopolitics<\/a>\u00a0has a long and often controversial history.<\/p>\n

In the 19th century and the first half of the 20th, it envisioned a world divided into \u201cgreat spaces,\u201d each dominated by a different \u201cGreat Power.\u201d According to this perspective, not all regions are equally important, and continentalist geopolitics does not require a choice between internationalism and isolationism.<\/p>\n

Instead, continentalism recommends that Great Powers like the U.S. \u2014 with its massive financial, natural and industrial resources \u2014 concentrate on controlling territory, the regions surrounding it and the crucial transportation routes on its continental fringes.<\/p>\n

Pressure is placed on countries whose importance is determined by their geopolitical proximity, and those that are least able to resist due to their dense connections and relative dependence on the U.S.<\/p>\n

The objective is not just to gain specific advantages; it\u2019s to force neighbours into even tighter economic and infrastructural connections and dependence. The obvious countries in this scenario are Canada and Mexico, and it\u2019s therefore unsurprising that both have been the targets of Trump\u2019s significant tariff threats and other coercive measures.<\/p>\n

When Ontario Premier Doug Ford talks about the need for\u00a0tighter continental ties through a continental AmCan<\/a>\u00a0arrangement, he provides exactly the desired reaction.<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\"A
Ontario Premier Doug Ford holds a news conference on American tariffs on March 4, 2025.\u00a0THE CANADIAN PRESS\/Nathan Denette<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>
<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Pressuring neighbours<\/h2>\n

Beyond geographically contiguous states, continentalist geopolitics also focuses on areas that command key strategic passages and trade routes, especially those currently controlled by weaker powers.<\/p>\n

For the U.S.,\u00a0Panama<\/a>, with its canal, fits the bill. Danish-administered\u00a0Greenland<\/a>, with its natural resources and geographic importance in a rapidly thawing Arctic region, is another. It\u2019s unsurprising that these countries, along with Canada, were a Trump focus in the first weeks of his second administration.<\/p>\n

Today, continentalist geopolitics recognizes the multi-polarity and\u00a0\u201cmulti-alignment\u201d<\/a>\u00a0in world politics.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not isolationist, but it recognizes that waning American power in an inter-connected world gives more distant states the ability to resist U.S. pressure by making deals with a wide range of other countries. In this setting, an interventionist global role is neither possible nor desirable, and the U.S. should refrain from global commitments.<\/p>\n

As U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated in\u00a0one of his first interviews<\/a>\u00a0after taking office:<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s not normal for the world to simply have a unipolar power\u2026 that was an anomaly. It was a product of the end of the Cold War, but eventually you were going to reach back to a point where you had a multi-polar world, multi-great powers in different parts of the planet. We face that now with China and to some extent Russia.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\n
\n
\"A
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, right, listens as President Donald Trump meets with the French president in the Oval Office in February 2025.\u00a0(Ludovic Marin\/Pool via AP)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>
<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

No commitment to global stability<\/h2>\n

The continentalist perspective does not require a complete separation from the world economic or security order. Trade, financial and technology flows can be encouraged, but their basis would be a re-industrialized and more self-sufficient core, well-insulated from economic and security threats.<\/p>\n

Extended interests, such as European stability, could be minimized by increasing the cost burden to allies and minimizing fixed commitments. A powerful global capacity with a \u201clight\u201d geographic footprint is the preferred posture.<\/p>\n

Calls for increased defence spending by NATO allies and for\u00a0European responsibility<\/a>\u00a0in enforcing a post-war settlement in Ukraine logically follow.<\/p>\n

The continentalist playbook is content to leave the management of distant regions to other powers, each pre-eminent in their part of the world. That means participation in international organizations is minimized.<\/p>\n

Foreign aid should reflect\u00a0American interests<\/a>, with involvement depending on the costs and benefits, not any automatic commitment to global stability. Feeding the world\u2019s most extensive development agency, USAID, \u201cinto the wood-chipper\u201d \u2014 to quote\u00a0Elon Musk<\/a>\u00a0\u2014 is a page taken straight from this kind of geopolitician\u2019s handbook.<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\"A
Elon Musk salutes as U.S. President Donald Trump addresses a joint session of Congress at the Capitol in Washington, D.C., on March 4, 2025.\u00a0(AP Photo\/Alex Brandon)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>
<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Unsavoury history<\/h2>\n

The possibility that a continentalist geopolitics underpins recent U.S. foreign policy initiatives has received too little attention in Canada.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not yet clear that the actions of America\u2019s new administration represent the rise, much less the triumph, of Trumpian geopolitics. Nor is there any guarantee that such a vision would or will succeed.<\/p>\n

But there is enough evidence to suggest we should take the possibility seriously. Since 1945, America\u2019s foreign policy options have resided somewhere between internationalism and isolationism. But a geopolitical vision of world politics as a diverse canvas of large territory dominated by different Great Powers have a long, if often unsavoury,\u00a0history<\/a>\u00a0in foreign policy.<\/p>\n

A southern neighbour pursuing a such a geopolitical approach would mark a radical transformation in world order and pose huge challenges for Canada. Canadians should at least be prepared for the possibility.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This article was published by The Conversation on March 17, 2025. By Michael Williams In the few weeks since United States President Donald Trump returned to the White House, world leaders and commentators have struggled [Read more]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":66326,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[13,14,2954,210,1039,597,598],"class_list":{"0":"post-66324","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-opinion","8":"tag-canada","9":"tag-featured","10":"tag-geopolitics","11":"tag-mexico","12":"tag-tariffs","13":"tag-trade","14":"tag-us"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrump - Thoughtful Journalism About Energy's Future<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It\u2019s not yet clear that the actions of America\u2019s new administration represent the rise, much less the triumph, of Trumpian geopolitics.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/energi.media\/opinion\/opinion-trumps-potential-embrace-of-continentalist-geopolitics-poses-grave-risks-to-canada\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump - 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