{"id":63049,"date":"2024-04-17T08:45:22","date_gmt":"2024-04-17T15:45:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energi.media\/?p=63049"},"modified":"2024-04-17T10:14:24","modified_gmt":"2024-04-17T17:14:24","slug":"u-s-natural-gas-trade-will-continue-to-grow-with-the-startup-of-new-lng-export-projects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energi.media\/news\/u-s-natural-gas-trade-will-continue-to-grow-with-the-startup-of-new-lng-export-projects\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. natural gas trade will continue to grow with the startup of new LNG export projects"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>This article was published by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=61863\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">US Energy Information Administration<\/a> on April 17, 2024.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>By Victoria Zaretskaya<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>In our recently released\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/steo\/\"><em>Short-Term Energy Outlook<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(STEO), we forecast that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports will continue to lead growth in U.S. natural gas trade as three\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/naturalgas\/importsexports\/liquefactioncapacity\/U.S.liquefactioncapacity_2024_1Q.xlsx\">LNG export projects currently under construction<\/a> start operations and ramp up to full production by the end of 2025. We also forecast increased natural gas exports by pipeline, mainly to Mexico. In our STEO forecast, net exports of U.S. natural gas (exports minus imports) grow 6 per cent to 13.6 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf\/d) in 2024 compared with 2023. In 2025, net exports increase another 20 per cent to 16.4 Bcf\/d.<\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/images\/2024.04.17\/main.svg\" alt=\"U.S. monthly natural gas trade\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"source\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><strong>Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/steo\/\">Short-Term Energy Outlook<\/a>\u00a0(STEO)<\/em><\/div>\n<hr \/>\n<p>We forecast that U.S. LNG exports increase 2 per cent in 2024 to average 12.2 Bcf\/d. In 2025, we forecast that LNG exports grow by an additional 18 per cent (2.1 Bcf\/d). We forecast U.S. natural gas exports by pipeline to grow by 3 per cent (0.3 Bcf\/d) in 2024 and by 4 per cent in 2025. We expect pipeline imports to decline by 0.4 Bcf\/d in 2024 and then increase slightly (0.1 Bcf\/d) in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>In 2024\u201325, we forecast that existing U.S. LNG export facilities will run at similar utilization rates as in 2023. Annual maintenance typically occurs in the spring and fall, when global LNG demand is lower and temperatures are mild. In April and May 2024, we expect LNG exports to decline while two of the three trains at the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasdaq.com\/articles\/freeport-lng-says-trains-1-2-at-texas-facility-to-be-down-until-may\">Freeport LNG export facility undergo annual maintenance<\/a>. Later in 2024, we expect that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/venture-global-lng-expects-extended-110000350.html\">Plaquemines LNG Phase I<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/lngir.cheniere.com\/news-events\/press-releases\/detail\/293\/cheniere-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2023-results\">Corpus Christi Stage 3<\/a>\u00a0will begin LNG production and load first cargoes by the end of the year. In 2025, the developers of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/commodityinsights\/en\/market-insights\/latest-news\/natural-gas\/120623-exxonmobil-pushes-back-timeline-for-startup-of-golden-pass-lng\">Golden Pass LNG<\/a>\u00a0plan to place in service the first two trains of this new three-train LNG export facility.<\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/images\/2024.04.17\/chart2.svg\" alt=\"U.S. liquefied natural gas average exports\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"source\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><strong>Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/steo\/\">Short-Term Energy Outlook<\/a>\u00a0(STEO)<\/em><\/div>\n<hr \/>\n<p>We forecast an increase in U.S. natural gas pipeline exports to Mexico as several pipelines in Mexico\u2014Tula-Villa de Reyes, Tuxpan-Tula, and Cuxtal Phase II connecting to the Energ\u00eda Mayakan pipeline on the Yucat\u00e1n Peninsula\u2014become fully operational in 2024\u201325. These pipelines started partial service in 2022\u201323 but have not been operating at full capacity. Also, flows via the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tcenergy.com\/operations\/natural-gas\/sur-de-texas-tuxpan-pipeline\/\">Sur de Texas-Tuxpan<\/a>\u00a0underwater pipeline are likely to increase slightly in 2024 when it begins delivering natural gas from the United States to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=60944\">Mexico\u2019s first LNG export project, Fast LNG Altamira<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/dnav\/ng\/hist\/n9102cn2m.htm\">U.S. natural gas pipeline imports from Canada<\/a>\u00a0remained relatively unchanged over the last two years (2022\u201323), averaging 8.1 Bcf\/d. We expect pipeline imports from Canada to remain a key supply source, particularly for the U.S. Midwest region during winter months.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/dnav\/ng\/hist\/n9103us2M.htm\">U.S. LNG imports<\/a>, which primarily serve New England and generally\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=39432\">peak in winter months<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=61823\">declined slightly in 2023<\/a>, mainly because of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news\/us-had-its-warmest-winter-on-record\">record-warm winter weather<\/a>. We expect LNG imports to average about 0.1 Bcf\/d in 2024\u201325 and continue to serve as a marginal supply source during periods of high demand, particularly in the winter months.<\/p>\n<p><em><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/images\/2024.04.17\/chart3.svg\" alt=\"U.S. monthly natural gas trade\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"source\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em><strong>Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/naturalgas\/monthly\/\">Natural Gas Monthly<\/a><\/em><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>This article was published by the US Energy Information Administration on April 17, 2024. By Victoria Zaretskaya In our recently released\u00a0Short-Term Energy Outlook\u00a0(STEO), we forecast that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports will continue to <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/energi.media\/news\/u-s-natural-gas-trade-will-continue-to-grow-with-the-startup-of-new-lng-export-projects\/\" title=\"U.S. natural gas trade will continue to grow with the startup of new LNG export projects\">[Read more]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":63050,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[891,41,14,95,2501],"class_list":{"0":"post-63049","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-eia","9":"tag-energy","10":"tag-featured","11":"tag-fossil-fuels","12":"tag-international-trade"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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