Climate Change Archives - Thoughtful Journalism About Energy's Future https://energi.media/tag/climate-change/ Fri, 21 Nov 2025 19:32:34 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 https://energi.media/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/cropped-Energi-sun-Troy-copy-32x32.jpg Climate Change Archives - Thoughtful Journalism About Energy's Future https://energi.media/tag/climate-change/ 32 32 Global Energy Efficiency Accelerating, But Well Below COP28 Goals https://energi.media/news/global-energy-efficiency-accelerating-but-well-below-cop28-goals/ https://energi.media/news/global-energy-efficiency-accelerating-but-well-below-cop28-goals/#respond Fri, 21 Nov 2025 19:32:34 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=67276 Global improvement in energy efficiency is accelerating — but still far from the pace needed to meet 2030 targets. According to a new report by the International Energy Agency (IEA), global primary energy intensity — [Read more]

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Global improvement in energy efficiency is accelerating — but still far from the pace needed to meet 2030 targets.

According to a new report by the International Energy Agency (IEA), global primary energy intensity — the amount of energy required per unit of economic output — is expected to improve by roughly 1.8 per cent in 2025, up from about 1 per cent in 2024. The jump suggests policymakers and industry are beginning to make headway. Still, the IEA warns that this rate remains well below the roughly 4 per cent annual improvement required to double energy-efficiency progress by 2030, a goal set at COP28.

The report notes that although more than 250 new policy measures were introduced in 2025 alone, sluggish progress in sectors such as industry and buildings threatens to drag down the overall outcome. The industrial sector’s energy-intensity improvement rate has reportedly fallen to under 0.5 per cent per year, compared with nearly 2 per cent in the previous decade.

Meanwhile, the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) highlights a parallel challenge: despite setting new records for renewable-energy capacity additions in 2024 — 582 GW globally — the world remains off-track to hit the target of tripling renewable capacity to 11.2 TW by 2030. Equally concerning, efficiency gains remain modest: global energy intensity improved by just 1 per cent in 2024, far behind the 4 per cent-year-on-year improvement required.

Why improvement matters

Energy efficiency is a vital lever: it lowers consumption, reduces emissions, and improves energy affordability. If economies can use less energy to generate the same output, the benefits ripple across security, competitiveness and climate goals. The IEA underscores that “the power to enhance people’s lives and livelihoods through greater energy security, more affordable bills, improved economic competitiveness and lower emissions” lies in boosting efficiency.

In practice, though, rising energy demand is working against efficiency gains. IEA data show that global energy demand grew by 2.2 per cent in 2024 — faster than both the longer-term average (~1.3 per cent) and the rate of efficiency improvement. As a result, the system still becomes more energy-intensive overall.

Where progress is uneven

Some policy progress is visible. The IEA tracked over 250 new policy actions in 2025 aimed at boosting efficiency. Efficiency in emerging economies such as China and India also shows modest upticks as they invest in efficiency standards and technologies.

But headwinds remain:

  • In the industrial sector — responsible for roughly two-thirds of global final energy-demand growth since 2019 — energy-intensity improvements have fallen sharply.

  • Buildings and cooling represent major gaps. Many new air-conditioning units sold globally are far less efficient than best-available models, undermining broader gains. The IEA notes that many countries — especially in fast-growing regions — still lack binding efficiency standards for new buildings.

  • The IRENA report also highlights that investment, grid infrastructure and supply-chain constraints are limiting how quickly renewables and efficiency measures can scale.

The implications for policy and business

For policymakers, the message is clear: the current pace, while improving, remains insufficient. Achieving the doubling of global energy-efficiency improvement by 2030 will require a material increase in ambition, enhanced enforcement, and faster diffusion of best-available technologies. The IEA’s “Energy Efficiency Policy Toolkit 2025” provides a menu of measures for industry, buildings and transport that countries can adopt.

For industry and business, especially in energy-intensive sectors, the opportunity is still large. With many systems still operating at less than half of today’s best-available efficiencies, retrofits, new high-efficiency equipment and smarter operations remain low-hanging fruit. But success will depend on regulation, capital deployment and the ability to implement change at scale.

The broader energy-transition backdrop

Efficiency gains must be made alongside the rapid deployment of renewables and rising electricity demand. The IRENA report emphasises that even as renewables grew by a record 582 GW in 2024, the world must now add more than 1,122 GW per year through the remainder of the decade to meet the tripling target. That puts enormous pressure on investment and supply chains.

At the same time, the IEA’s recent “Global Energy Review 2025” shows that growth in electricity demand — driven by cooling, digitalisation and electrification — outpaced overall energy demand growth. Unless efficiency improvements accelerate, energy use will continue to rise even with increased renewables entering the system.

What comes next

The next five years will likely determine whether the world stays on track for its dual targets: doubling energy-efficiency improvement rates and tripling renewable-energy capacity by 2030. Achieving those will require:

  • Sharper regulation and standards: mandating minimum performance levels for equipment, buildings, and industrial processes.

  • Scaling investment: The IRENA-led report states that to stay on track, annual investment in renewables must reach at least USD 1.4 trillion per year through 2025-30 — more than double the USD 624 billion invested in 2024.

  • Faster technology deployment: Speeding up adoption of high-efficiency equipment, industrial optimisation, grid flexibility and smart controls.

  • Targeting hard-to-abate sectors and regions: Industry, buildings in emerging economies, and regions with very low efficiency baselines will demand particular attention.

  • Bridging infrastructure and supply-chain gaps: Many of the bottlenecks highlighted by IRENA relate to grids, storage and component manufacturing.

Bottom line

The global trajectory of energy efficiency is improving — but not fast enough. At roughly 1.8 per cent improvement in 2025, the world remains well short of the pace required to hit the 4 per cent-plus annual gains needed to meet 2030 targets. In tandem with renewable-capacity scaling and rising demand, efficiency will remain one of the most important yet most challenging pieces of the energy-transition puzzle.

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Opinion: What is going on with Alberta’s climate-change strategy? https://energi.media/opinion/opinion-what-is-going-on-with-albertas-climate-change-strategy/ https://energi.media/opinion/opinion-what-is-going-on-with-albertas-climate-change-strategy/#respond Mon, 03 Nov 2025 18:07:53 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=67198 This article was published by Policy Options on Nov. 3, 2025. By Lennie Kaplan Alberta’s climate-change strategy, the emissions reduction and energy development plan (ERED), announced with fanfare by the Smith government in April 2023, seems to [Read more]

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This article was published by Policy Options on Nov. 3, 2025.

By Lennie Kaplan

Alberta’s climate-change strategy, the emissions reduction and energy development plan (ERED), announced with fanfare by the Smith government in April 2023, seems to be in public limbo after more than two years.

The plan outlined a series of actions, opportunities and commitments to reduce the province’s emissions, including an aspirational target of a carbon-neutral economy by 2050.

But implementation appears to have stalled, which is troubling given renewed talks between Ottawa and Alberta about a “grand bargain” focused on significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions, encouraging carbon capture and storage deployment, and unlocking pipeline development.

The 2025 mandate letters from Premier Danielle Smith to the ministers of environment and protected areas and energy and minerals make no reference to implementing the plan despite a 2023 mandate letter from the premier that talked about the two ministers co-ordinating to do so.

No significant action on implementation appears to have occurred over the past two years around the following key initiatives, which I support and believe are critical to success:

  • reducing the provincial oilsands 100-megatonne (Mt) annual emissions limit to align with carbon capture and storage project targets – an estimated 11-Mt annual reduction in CO2 emissions by 2030 – of the Pathways Alliance, an organization representing six of the largest oilsands producers;
  • working collaboratively with partners – including environmental NGOs, industry, Indigenous organizations, municipalities, labour groups and others – to design effective policy and programs to support implementation of the ERED;
  • establishing policies and programs that are evidence-based, including understanding the environmental, social and economic impact of policy choices;
  • publishing reports documenting the progress and outcome of the actions taken as part of the plan.

In a 2018 audit, the Office of the Alberta Auditor General pointed out that critical elements of a robust system to manage provincial climate-change plans included maintaining overall and sectoral implementation plans, as well as rigorous and effective monitoring of the progress of climate-change programs, including complete information on costs.

The lack of action on the ERED creates uncertainty about how Alberta can reach its goal of carbon neutrality by 2050 or any interim emissions-reduction targets for 2030, 2035, 2040 or 2045.

To come to that conclusion, we use the Canada Energy Dashboard, updated with detailed data to January 2025, based on the current suite of federal and provincial climate-change policies (but not the proposed federal oil and gas emissions cap, the federal clean-electricity regulations and the federal 75-per-cent oil-and-gas methane-reduction requirement) to examine Alberta’s emission projections. We further use refence cost assumptions for technologies such as carbon capture and storage, solar, wind and batteries, and hydrogen.

Based on this reasonable scenario, Alberta will miss its 2050 target of carbon neutrality by 222.4 megatonnes.

Canada needs to accelerate its transition to renewable energy

Many Albertans still fine with an oil-and-gas future

For reference, Alberta’s actual CO2 emissions in 2005 were 250.5 Mt, so the current Alberta emission-reduction track suggests only a 11-per-cent reduction between 2005 and 2050. In fact, based on current policies, Alberta’s CO2 emissions are expected to remain relatively stagnant at about 220-222 Mt between 2030 and 2050.

These Alberta emission levels do not include the implications of the latest Alberta government goal to increase oil production from nearly four million barrels per day in 2024 to six million barrels per day by 2030 and to eight million barrels per day by 2035.

Clearly, further actions will be critical, including vigorous implementation of the ERED, coupled with aggressive adoption of carbon capture and storage, and the early advent of direct air capture. So why the implementation delay?

One of the key components of a successful ERED is the need to conduct comprehensive emissions forecasting and analysis to develop credible sectoral and overall action plans.

The Alberta Environment and Protected Areas ministry recognized this recently when it issued an RFP to enhance the government’s internal capability to perform sophisticated analysis and forecasting of the social, economic and environmental impact of provincial climate-related policies and federal climate-related policies.

The goal is to have access to best practices and methods in the field of empirical economic-energy-environment modelling, including the ability to study the economic impact of policy scenarios, as well as how policy, energy prices and technological change impact energy use. This work is scheduled to begin in January.

Enhancing emissions forecasting and analysis capabilities within government is critical in preparing an overall ERED action plan as well as action plans for key industry sectors; establishing sectoral and interim emissions targets for 2030, 2035, 2040 and 2045; and promoting vigorous monitoring and reporting systems.

These are all best practices of a robust legislated climate-change accountability framework, which is vital because maintaining national and international credibility is important to Albertans.

The Alberta government talks about sovereignty within a united Canada. To put meaning to these words, Alberta needs a strong ERED if it expects to conclude a successful “grand bargain” with Ottawa on significantly reducing emissions, encouraging carbon capture and storage deployment, and unlocking pipeline development.

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Fossils’ response to methane leaks improves too slowly, 90 per cent still ignored: UN https://energi.media/news/fossils-response-to-methane-leaks-improves-too-slowly-90-per-cent-still-ignored-un/ https://energi.media/news/fossils-response-to-methane-leaks-improves-too-slowly-90-per-cent-still-ignored-un/#respond Tue, 28 Oct 2025 20:12:20 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=67175 This article was published by The Energy Mix on Oct. 27, 2025. By Chris Bonasia As governments and fossil fuel companies largely fail to act on alerts from methane-detecting satellites, a new report says they’re [Read more]

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This article was published by The Energy Mix on Oct. 27, 2025.

By Chris Bonasia

As governments and fossil fuel companies largely fail to act on alerts from methane-detecting satellites, a new report says they’re undermining their own operations and bottom lines while missing a key climate mitigation opportunity.

Over the last year, the share of alerts leading to action rose from 1 per cent to 12 per cent, writes the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)’s International Methane Observatory (IMEO) in its annual report.

“This is real progress, yet it also underscores the gap that remains: almost 90 per cent of satellite-detected emission events flagged by UNEP still go unaddressed by governments and companies.”

Climate scientists agree that tackling methane emissions is the fastest way to slow near-term climate change. That’s because methane is a potent greenhouse gas with a warming potential 84 times stronger than that of carbon dioxide over the 20-year span when humanity will be scrambling to get climate change under control.

The IMEO developed a Methane Alert and Response System (MARS) which uses a network of 17 satellites to monitor for methane plumes that can indicate leaks from oil and gas infrastructure. MARS has issued over 3,500 alerts to 33 countries since it was started three years ago, according to the report. The alerts are meant to warn people on the ground to address the leaks, but response rates have been minimal: last year’s response rate was only 1 per cent, making this year’s 12 per cent an improvement.

The percentages reflect 25 documented instances of emissions reduction facilitated or verified by MARS to date, 19 of which were documented since the last report in November 2024. IMEO head Giulia Ferrini said 100 per cent or near-100 per cent rates in some of the better-performing countries—like Yemen, Argentina, and Oman—have resulted in major emissions cuts, reports Bloomberg.

MARS works alongside UNEP’s voluntary Oil and Gas Methane Partnership 2.0 (OGMP 2.0), which includes oil and gas companies that have committed to reducing methane emissions. Membership has grown since OGMP started five years ago, reaching 153 companies across 90 countries that account for 42 per cent of global oil and gas production.

“Members are shifting to measurement-based emission inventories, uncovering previously undetected emissions, and implementing cost-effective mitigation measures,” the report states.

But despite the progress, “actions remain too slow,” UNEP Executive Director Inger Andersen told Reuters.

“We are talking about tightening the screws in some cases,” she said of methane leaks in the oil and gas sector, such as from flaring and venting. “We can’t ignore these rather easy wins.”

Pembina Institute senior analyst Amanda Bryant has issued similar recommendations for Canadian oil and gas companies, suggesting cost-effective opportunities like better leak monitoring, improved facility design, and using satellites to trigger responses to large leak events.

Methane solutions are abundant and “common sense,” said UNEP Director of Climate Change Martin Krause. “From capturing gas that can be sold to eliminating revenue-draining inefficiencies, cutting methane is among the smartest investments any operator can make,” Krause writes in the report. “Companies that act decisively are not just reducing emissions: they are strengthening efficiency, competitiveness, energy security, and public trust.”

With less than five years to achieve the Global Methane Pledge to cut emissions 30 per cent from 2020 levels by 2030, “the moment has come to pull the emergency brake,” he adds, just a couple of weeks before signatories meet for another UN climate summit in Belém, Brazil.

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Back ‘nation-building, not nation-burning’ projects, 250 city leaders urge Carney https://energi.media/news/back-nation-building-not-nation-burning-projects-250-city-leaders-urge-carney/ https://energi.media/news/back-nation-building-not-nation-burning-projects-250-city-leaders-urge-carney/#respond Mon, 29 Sep 2025 20:23:35 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=67108 This article was published by The Energy Mix on Sept. 26, 2025.  By Mitchell Beer A coalition of more than 250 mayors and city councillors from across Canada is calling on the federal government to [Read more]

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This article was published by The Energy Mix on Sept. 26, 2025. 

By Mitchell Beer

A coalition of more than 250 mayors and city councillors from across Canada is calling on the federal government to keep #ElbowsUp with nation-building projects that respond to the climate emergency, after a “staggering” one in four Canadians in at least 200 communities experienced the impacts of climate change this past summer.

More than 15 million people faced “evacuations, unsafe air quality, extreme heat, or severe storms in their communities,” Elbows Up for Climate said in a release Wednesday. Nearly 40 non-Indigenous and 88 Indigenous communities were evacuated, with tens of thousands of people displaced, and 417 wildfires are wildfires are still burning.

The release landed just days after early reporting from the Canadian Climate Institute showed Canada’s emissions reductions flatlining in 2024 while climate pollution fossil fuels accelerated.

The coalition has identified more than 200 communities and regions that dealt with specific climate impacts over the summer, not including one in seven First Nations that faced wildfires, evacuations, extreme heat, and air quality warnings.

In the release, coalition co-chair and former Toronto mayor David Miller took aim at the first batch of major projects that Prime Minister Mark Carney announced earlier this month. “LNG Canada is both a carbon bomb and an entirely foreign-owned project: what happened to ‘Elbows Up’?” he asked. “This is a moment for investing in nation-building, not nation-burning projects.”

Instead, the municipal leaders are urging Carney and his government to take on a list of nation-building projects that will “help us build an economy that is significantly independent from our neighbour to the south and will materially help our efforts to lower our greenhouse gas emissions and our reliance on burning fossil fuels,” Miller told The Energy Mix in an interview. The media release reiterates the coalition’s call to federal party leaders during last spring’s federal election to sign on to a project list that includes:

• A national clean energy grid;

• Building two million energy-efficient, non-market homes;

• Energy retrofits for low-income homes and multi-unit buildings;

• A national high-speed rail and intercity bus system;

• Implementation and funding for a “national resilience, response, and recovery strategy.”

So far, Miller said the response from MPs is coming in at two different levels.

“The bigger one, but only slightly, is, ‘look, we’re in tough because of what’s going on in the [United States]. We can’t think about anything but jobs right now. This is environmental stuff,’” he said.

However, with a growing contingent open to the idea that climate infrastructure projects also build the economy, Miller said he’s “cautiously optimistic” that “we’re going to broaden the numbers of Members of Parliament who are receptive to these ideas to a majority. It is requiring some work, there’s no question about that, but there’s a good core and we’ve got a good starting point”—namely housing minister and former Vancouver mayor Gregor Robertson, who’s been “working on climate issues for decades.”

Climate Emergency ‘Changes You’

The mayors and councillors carried a similar message in an open letter to federal party leaders in mid-April, a couple of weeks before the April 28 federal election.

“Leading through a climate emergency changes you,” the coalition said at the time. “You can’t witness elderly neighbours overheating in low-income apartments during a heat wave, and not recognize the critical role of well-insulated, affordable housing. You can’t comfort people who have lost everything in floods and fires, and not wonder how we will afford to rebuild. You can’t watch your kids and loved ones choke on toxic wildfire smoke without knowing the time to act boldly on climate change is right now—because later is too late.”

Already, they added, “we’ve watched wildfires rip through nearly every part of our country. Just like you, we were stunned when Lytton disappeared off the map. Then parts of Halifax went up in flames. Last year, wildfires engulfed the iconic and beloved Jasper. What’s next? Who’s next?”

This week, Jasper Mayor Richard Ireland said it’s long past time to get funding in place for the resilience and response strategy the mayors and councillors are asking for.

“Jasper knows all too well the challenges and the heartbreak of evacuation, and responding to and recovering from climate disaster,” he said in the release. “Protecting communities and mitigating the impacts from climate change catastrophe protects lives, property, and local economies.”

“On the ground, we are linking arms—First Nations, rural municipalities, and cities—because wildfire smoke and unsafe air know no boundaries,” said Winnipeg councillor Sherri Rollins. “But local governments can’t do it alone. The federal government must treat this as a nation-building moment.”

“Nation-building projects are only beneficial if they are decarbonized, respect treaty rights, and work to protect nature, not destroy it,” agreed Fredericton councillor Margo Sheppard. “To perpetuate pipelines and burning things when the world is moving away from these loses sight of the available, cleaner options that create jobs, improve air quality, and prevent premature deaths.”

Seize the Opportunity

With questions mounting about the limited up-front attention climate issues have received since Carney took office, Miller said he doesn’t think the PM has forgotten or left behind the work he did or the value(s) he espoused in his life before politics.

Carney “is playing his cards on this issue very close to his chest,” Miller told The Mix. “I think he’s been shrewd not to antagonize Alberta deliberately,” but “he knows as well as anybody in the world what needs to be done. One of the challenges is this big push for new fossil fuel infrastructure, and if you do that, it’s not there for the next year until congressional elections in the U.S. [Just 403 sleeps and counting—Ed.] “It’s there for the next 50 years, and it locks Canada into a huge amount of emissions if the infrastructure is being built to increase the exploitation of the reserves.”

That’s why the municipal leaders are emphasizing “sensible and obvious nation-building projects that will use Canadian resources like steel, and, you know, make sense. And it makes sense that they make sense, because local governments have to operate with common sense.”

The coalition’s wish list includes completion of a national clean electricity grid at a time when “it’s easier for us to export our clean energy to the United States than it is for people in Yellowknife to rely on clean energy from British Columbia,” Miller added. “It’s easier for people in New York and Cleveland to use Quebec’s clean energy and Ontario’s almost clean energy than it is for people in Alberta to use Manitoba and B.C.’s.”

And that, in turn, is just one part of the opportunity for Canada to recognize its own strength as the world’s ninth-biggest economy.

“We’re superb, and I think we need to think a little bit more that way,” Miller said. “We’re not this little tiny country beside a big one. We are a big, powerful country.” But to protect that status, he said Canada will have to build up its existing advanced manufacturing capacity by emphasizing sectors like clean vehicle manufacturing.

“The U.S. is abandoning that completely. Why don’t we take that over?” he asked. “We have a moment now where paradoxically there’s a massive opportunity because what the U.S. is doing, I think we need to seize it.”

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Low water levels, not low-brow U.S. politics, explain decline in Quebec hydro exports to New England https://energi.media/news/low-water-levels-not-low-brow-u-s-politics-explain-decline-in-quebec-hydro-exports-to-new-england/ https://energi.media/news/low-water-levels-not-low-brow-u-s-politics-explain-decline-in-quebec-hydro-exports-to-new-england/#respond Fri, 11 Apr 2025 17:31:48 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=66519 This article was published by The Energy Mix on April 11, 2025. By Mitchell Beer Routine fluctuations in water levels, not transborder politics and not even climate change, are at the root of sharply reduced [Read more]

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This article was published by The Energy Mix on April 11, 2025.

By Mitchell Beer

Routine fluctuations in water levels, not transborder politics and not even climate change, are at the root of sharply reduced electricity sales from Hydro-Québec to New England, despite suspicions in some U.S. media that Donald Trump’s economic warfare against Canada might be the cause.

The pointed question arose late last month, just days before Trump’s self-styled “Liberation Day” tariffs threw the global economy into turmoil, when one of the leading U.S. climate and energy news outlets (and one of our go-to sources for U.S. news) asked whether “drought, prices, or politics” had triggered a “weeks-long disappearance” of Quebec hydropower from the New England grid.

“On March 6, at the start of the still-simmering trade war between the U.S. and Canada, hydropower generator Hydro‑Québec quietly stopped exporting electricity to New England,” Canary Media wrote. “At a time of year when Canadian hydropower typically supplies up to a tenth of New England’s power, the region has instead gone almost a month with virtually no cross-border flow of electrons.”

The provincial utility said the decision to suspend sales was driven by low prices on the region’s spot market for electricity, not politics. But Quebec “stopped exporting any meaningful amount of power two days after President Donald Trump’s tariff on Canadian imports went into effect,” the news story stated. “The longer that New England needs to replace the absent hydropower, the more often it will call on natural gas or oil power plants to fill the gap with dirtier and more expensive electricity, particularly as demand increases in the summer and again next winter.”

“This shows the potential for the region to be vulnerable to manipulations of the supply,” Phelps Turner, director of clean grid for the U.S. Conservation Law Foundation, told Canary Media reporter Sarah Shemkus.

The news story added that the “pullback is likely due, at least in part, to ongoing abnormally dry and drought conditions in much of Quebec,” leaving Hydro-Québec with less water to drive its massive hydropower turbines. “Hydro-Québec is proactively managing its energy reserves in the context of low runoff and, as such, will continue to limit its exports as it did in 2024,” company spokesperson Lynn St-Laurent told the U.S. news outlet.

Stream flow and market pricing are indeed the whole story, St-Laurent told The Energy Mix in an email.

“Our current stance in the market is driven by warmer temperatures and lower prices, as well as the proactive management of our energy reserves,” she wrote. “It is not political.”

Water supply variability “is a normal and well-known phenomenon faced by all hydroelectric producers,” she explained. “Periods of low and high water levels have followed one another over the years since the 1960s.”

The utility’s 2024 annual report shows exports fluctuating from 32.4 terawatt hours in 2020 to 36.2 TWh in 2021, 35.6 TWh in 2022, 23 TWh in 2023, and 15.1 TWh in 2024; the 2019 version records [pdf] levels above 30 TWh back to 2016.

News reports over the last year indicate Canadian hydropower declining in the face of record hot, dry conditions, and the country importing more power than it exports as a result. However, long-term modelling by Montreal-based Ouranos Inc. shows longer-term climatic changes increasing stream flows increasing by 6 per cent to 8 per cent through 2050 in the parts of the province where Hydro-Québec has its biggest reservoirs.

Despite the recent downturn, Quebec “is still exporting energy towards New England in order to meet certain contract obligations,” St-Laurent said. “As for our two other long-term commitments, with Massachusetts and New York, Hydro-Québec is pursuing construction of the interties which will deliver the energy under these contracts.”

The New England Clean Energy Connect transmission line toward Massachusetts via Lewiston, Maine is expected to go into service in December 2025; the Champlain Hudson Power Express to New York in May 2026.

Pierre-Olivier Pineau, chair in energy sector management at HEC Montréal, confirmed there’s nothing political about Hydro-Québec’s export data—at least, not yet.

“With Trump’s tariffs, there have been some questions on whether Québec should still export to the U.S.—but nothing has officially changed in Hydro-Québec and Québec’s policies,” he told The Mix in an email. But with the downturn being driven by stream flows and the priority the utility must attach to its own domestic market, he critiqued any notion that Hydro-Québec is letting New England down.

“Most exports from Québec are to the wholesale market, without long-term contracts. There are no commitments by design, so it’s weird to say that the market can’t count on Quebec, one supplier,” he wrote. “The market, by design, is expected to not count on any single supplier, since it aims at being competitive. If one supplier was influential, it would have some market power, and this is what competitive wholesale markets try to avoid.”

While lower exports have cost the utility and the provincial government C$1 to $2 billion in revenue, Pineau said the amount “remains marginal” for the provincial budget—certainly compared to the $10 to $15 billion in annual investment in Hydro-Québec’s latest capital plan.

But for Quebec, “export market is not the priority right now. Politicians seem to believe in decarbonization and the attraction of ‘clean’ industries coming to Québec for relatively cheap renewable energy. The Québec government has almost given up on trying to make money from Hydro-Québec—they want to use it as a tool for green growth and as an industrial policy. I am not sure it can happen and that it’s a good strategy, but it’s the current orientation.”

 

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Climate change contributes to surge in global energy demand: IEA https://energi.media/news/climate-change-contributes-to-surge-in-global-energy-demand-iea/ https://energi.media/news/climate-change-contributes-to-surge-in-global-energy-demand-iea/#respond Fri, 28 Mar 2025 17:39:26 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=66414 This article was published by The Energy Mix on March 27, 2025. By Chris Bonasia Global energy demand surged in 2024, driven in part by extreme heat that pushed electricity use to new heights. And [Read more]

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This article was published by The Energy Mix on March 27, 2025.

By Chris Bonasia

Global energy demand surged in 2024, driven in part by extreme heat that pushed electricity use to new heights. And while clean energy sources made record gains, they weren’t enough to offset rising fossil fuel consumption, finds a new report by the International Energy Agency (IEA).

Electricity demand rose nearly twice as fast in 2024 as the average over the past decade, as heatwaves drove up air conditioning use, industries ramped up production, and the world’s fleet of electric vehicles, data centres, and artificial intelligence systems grew, finds [pdf] the IEA’s annual Global Energy Review. Nearly all of the additional electricity was supplied by low-emissions sources, with solar and wind seeing record expansion, along with an 8 per cent rise in nuclear power generation.

Extreme Heat Drove Up Emissions

Still, overall energy demand climbed by 2.2 per cent, leading to a continued reliance on fossil fuels. Gas demand increased substantially. Growth in coal consumption slowed compared to 2023, with a 1 per cent rise due to electricity needed for cooling amid high temperatures, especially in China and India.

If global temperatures had remained at 2023 levels, roughly half of the increase in energy-related emissions could have been avoided last year, the IEA says. Temperature shifts alone accounted for about 20 per cent of the rise in electricity and gas use, and they were the sole driver behind higher coal demand.

Oil Slows, Surplus Expected

Oil demand increased at a much slower pace than in previous years, falling below 30 per cent of global energy consumption for the first time as more EVs hit the roads. Instead, the bulk of oil demand growth came from petrochemical feedstocks—the raw materials used to produce plastics and some chemicals—which increased more than 12 per cent over five years. During recent negotiations for an international treaty to curb plastic production, oil-producing countries pushed to protect these feedstocks, reflecting a broader strategy to sustain their business as transportation electrifies.

An earlier analysis by the IEA indicates oil supply will outstrip demand this year as the United States ramps up production.

Record Renewables Expansion

Clean energy made significant strides in 2024, the IEA finds. Renewables accounted for 38 per cent of new energy supply, with a record-breaking 700 gigawatts of capacity added. Solar dominated, making up nearly 80 per cent of these additions.

“In the European Union, the share of generation provided by solar photovoltaics and wind surpassed the combined share of coal and gas for the first time,” writes the IEA. In the U.S., with funding under the Biden-era Inflation Reduction Act rolling out, solar and wind overtook the share of coal.

China’s Outsized Influence

In China, solar PV and wind reached nearly 20 per cent of total generation, making up two-thirds of the global expansion. The country also played a leading role in fossil fuel trends, showing the largest absolute growth in gas demand, at over 7 per cent.

While a 1.8 per cent decline from China’s transportation sector was key to holding back oil demand growth, the country still showed an appetite for coal to meet spiking electricity demand during heatwaves. China alone was responsible for over half of the world’s electricity demand growth.

“China deserves credit for promoting clean energy AND criticism for promoting energy-intensive industry and coal. Need to hold two thoughts at the same time,” veteran analyst Lauri Myllyvirta, co-founder of the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, wrote on LinkedIn.

“Every time I post a story about positive developments in China, people will respond with a graph showing the country’s emissions rise in the past decades as if that’s a gotcha; when I post negative stuff I get responses about how many solar panels China put up,” he added. “I always try to emphasize that China’s emissions stabilization and budding turnaround is so important because of the country’s huge emissions and rapid emission growth until 2023, not because that makes the country somehow a saint among nations.”

Emissions Slowed By Clean Energy Gains

Energy-related greenhouse gas emissions continued to rise in 2024, but at a slower rate than the year before. The IEA says expanding clean energy capacity helped hold back emissions growth and avoided an estimated 2.6 billion tonnes of additional carbon dioxide emissions per year.

Globally, emissions remained decoupled from GDP, in line with a longer-term trend.

Most of the year’s emissions growth was from emerging and developing economies. Once again, China proved exceptional, with per-capita emissions now nearly twice the global average, even as its overall emissions growth slowed.

Clean energy deployment in advanced economies lowered emissions from coal and oil by 5.7 per cent and 0.5 per cent, respectively, causing overall climate pollution in those countries to drop by 1.1 per cent.

 

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How oil and gas methane emissions were cut in half in under a decade https://energi.media/news/how-oil-and-gas-methane-emissions-were-cut-in-half-in-under-a-decade/ https://energi.media/news/how-oil-and-gas-methane-emissions-were-cut-in-half-in-under-a-decade/#respond Tue, 11 Feb 2025 20:03:21 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=66017 This article was published by The Canadian Climate Institute on Feb. 10, 2025. By Alison Bailie British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan can celebrate a climate win this year—and in the oil and gas sector, no [Read more]

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This article was published by The Canadian Climate Institute on Feb. 10, 2025.

By Alison Bailie

British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan can celebrate a climate win this year—and in the oil and gas sector, no less. As of 2022, these provinces had beaten their 2025 targets for reducing methane emissions from the upstream oil and gas sector. They did so by setting specific reduction targets and implementing a coordinated policy framework.

Methane is an especially potent greenhouse gas, and the oil and gas sector is the largest industrial contributor to these emissions in Canada. Fortunately, the methane emissions from this sector are largely due to methane gas leaks from equipment, and reducing these leaks can be relatively low cost, making it a no-brainer when it comes to policy action.

This Insight explores the latest data on oil and gas methane reductions, and the lessons it offers for additional effort in this space.

Oil and gas methane has been cut by more than half in under a decade

Reducing methane emissions is a high priority globally and in Canada. In 2021, Canada announced its support of the Global Methane Pledge—where by 2024 nearly 100 countries have completed national methane action plans or are in progress—and committed to developing a plan to reduce oil and gas methane emissions by at least 75 per cent below 2012 levels by 2030. The Oil & Gas Decarbonization Charter has over 50 signatories—including some of the world’s largest oil and gas companies such as Shell, Exxon Mobil, and BP—who are aiming for near-zero methane emissions by 2030 at upstream operations, among other goals.

Methane accounted for 117 million tonnes (or megatonnes, Mt) of CO2e emissions in 2022, or over 16 per cent of national greenhouse gas emissions, according to Environment and Climate Change Canada’s National Inventory Report1. The oil and gas sectors emitted 56 Mt CO2e of methane, just under half of total methane emissions.

The provinces have been leaders on emission reduction policies in the oil and gas sector, with Alberta being the first oil and gas producing jurisdiction to limit emissions from flaring. In 2018, the federal government introduced federal methane regulations to meet Canada’s commitment to reduce methane emissions from the oil and gas sector by 40 to 45 per cent below 2012 levels by 2025. Alberta developed their own methane regulations to reflect regional priorities and worked with the federal government to reach an equivalency agreement. British Columbia and Saskatchewan also worked with the federal government to reach equivalency agreements.

As shown in Figure 1, each province has reported significant emission reductions and achieved their methane reduction targets ahead of time.

Figure 1: All provinces have surpassed their 2025 oil & gas methane emissions reduction targets ahead of schedule

To see an animated version of this graph, click here.

Success cutting methane came from multi-pronged coordinated policy

The numbers show a clear policy success story. Methane targets were met and exceeded thanks to a range of coordinated policies, including collaboration with the federal government.

First, each province introduced technology-based regulations that aligned with federal methane reduction measures, as described above.

Second, all three provinces incentivized research and development related to both methane measurement and mitigation, with some funding provided through compliance payments. For instance, penalties from Saskatchewan’s methane regulations were directed toward methane capture projects.

Third, governments have created incentive structures that reward emissions reductions. In Alberta, fugitive emissions were integrated into the provincial large-emitter trading system, enabling these reductions to contribute to a facility’s compliance and avoid more expensive mitigation options (In British Columbia and Saskatchewan fugitive emissions are largely excluded from industrial pricing systems). Alberta also enabled offset credits for reductions from pneumatic devices—typically pressure controllers, pumps, and other equipment that run on compressed gas or propane at wells and processing facilities—- that were installed prior to the regulation, which encouraged early action.

On the federal side, the government provided financial and technical support through research and development funding and in 2024 by launching the Methane Center of Excellence.
A significant benefit of the provincial and federal funding has been the improvement in methane leak measurement methodologies in the last five years. The federal government has made substantial updates to the estimates in the National Inventory Report, resulting in higher reported emissions, with fugitive methane emissions from oil and gas increasing by 12 Mt (27 per cent) to 19 Mt (32 per cent) per year for the period from 1990 to 2022 (the range reflects differences by year). This means the footprint of the oil and gas sector is larger than previously thought. However, the updates impact the reported base year emissions as well as recent years, meaning the per cent reduction targets may still be met. For example, research from Saskatchewan with improved measurement concludes that the province likely met its reduction target. Overall reporting updates have improved accuracy and reliability of the reported methane values, which is an essential step for emissions monitoring and policy action in future years.

How to cut even more methane emissions from oil and gas

Now is the time for provinces and the federal government to up their game with targets and policies aimed at deeper reductions and a wider scope of oil and gas methane emissions. The success in reducing methane has contributed to modest declines in the emissions intensity of oil and gas production overall, but production growth has outpaced these intensity improvements. This means that total sector emissions have continued to grow, adding to the increasingly costly impacts of global climate change.

Recent analysis from 440 Megatonnes shows that reducing methane emissions by 75 per cent or more by 2030 is one of the more promising policies to help get Canada’s emissions on track to meet the legislated 2030 emissions reduction target.

Some governments are signalling more ambition. British Columbia has already amended their regulations with increased stringency aiming to reduce methane to 75 per cent below 2014 levels by 2030. As mentioned earlier, the federal government committed to developing a plan for 75 per cent reductions in 2021 and have released new draft oil and gas methane regulations as a key plank in this plan. Importantly, the draft regulations introduced a performance-based compliance option, which adds flexibility for compliance relative to the 2025 regulations.

However, not all governments have committed to this goal and the current draft regulations may need greater stringency. The Saskatchewan government has not adopted a new target, even though the provincial oil and gas sector has already cut venting and flaring emissions by 67 per cent. In addition,  analysis the province commissioned indicates that methane reductions are projected to be among the lowest-cost options for the oil and gas sector. The Alberta government announced it would engage with Albertans on meeting an even stronger target, 75 to 80 per cent methane emissions reductions. However, this doesn’t appear to have happened yet and the government’s technical submission states their opposition to the draft federal regulations, arguing that they are overly prescriptive and underestimate costs. While showing progress, British Columbia’s regulations have also faced criticism for not covering all oil and gas activities that could further reduce methane emissions, and some compliance deadlines extend to 2035.

Provinces can address these challenges by building on their previous successes, setting clear, achievable goals, and testing new technical and policy approaches through collaboration with industry, public or private sector researchers, Indigenous peoples, and others. Continued cooperation with the federal government will also be essential in achieving ambitious methane reduction targets.

Action to further reduce methane emissions from the upstream oil and gas sector is a smart move for British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan. These provinces have demonstrated that coordinated, regionally tailored policies can lead to substantial emission reductions without compromising economic production. Methane is a high-impact greenhouse gas, and the success of the methane reduction policies  in the oil and gas sector offers valuable lessons for the current urgent opportunity for much deeper reductions by 2030.


Alison Bailie is a Senior Research Associate at the Canadian Climate Institute

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Climate could impede Canadian farmers’ push for food sovereignty amid U.S. tariff torrent https://energi.media/news/climate-could-impede-canadian-farmers-push-for-food-sovereignty-amid-u-s-tariff-torrent/ https://energi.media/news/climate-could-impede-canadian-farmers-push-for-food-sovereignty-amid-u-s-tariff-torrent/#respond Tue, 11 Feb 2025 19:42:50 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=66007 This article was published by The Energy Mix on Feb. 11, 2025. By Christopher Bonasia Canada’s strained relationship with the Trump administration is raising concerns in the farm sector on both sides of the border, [Read more]

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This article was published by The Energy Mix on Feb. 11, 2025.

By Christopher Bonasia

Canada’s strained relationship with the Trump administration is raising concerns in the farm sector on both sides of the border, threatening to lower farm incomes, drive up consumer food prices, and hinder farmer efforts to adapt to climate change.

Amid tariff threats and even the possibility of U.S. annexation, worsening climate impacts will make it harder for the Canadian farm sector to diversify or grow domestic markets, Geneviève Grossenbacher, director of policy at Farmers for Climate Solutions, told The Energy Mix.

“More than ever, building climate resilience is important to safeguard our national food security and economic viability long term,” Grossenbacher said. To support farmers, policies must focus on building resilience and lowering costs on farms.

Since Donald Trump’s inauguration three weeks ago, uncertainty over trade has forced Canada to reevaluate economic ties with its unpredictable southern neighbour. Earlier this month, Canada and Mexico were both tentatively spared from a trade war with a 30-day reprieve, but on Monday Trump announced 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium from all countries, including Canada, and businesses are already feeling the effects.

The tariffs are especially concerning given Trump’s continuing rumblings about using economic pressure to push Canada into becoming a 51st U.S. state—a claim that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau privately acknowledged in a recent meeting as “a real thing.”

Canada’s National Farmers Union (NFU) responded to Trump’s threats by calling for a stronger focus on food sovereignty. The union advocates for diversifying export markets, building regional and local markets, and preventing corporate profiteering, among other things—to protect Canadian farmers, workers, and consumers.

“The democratic control of important decisions about food and agriculture… is a key strategy to withstand President Trump’s economic pressure tactics, which are brazenly aimed at annexing Canada,” NFU wrote in a news release.

Climate change further complicates the outlook for Canadian farmers, with unpredictable and severe weather affecting yields. In a nation-wide poll, more than three-quarters of Canadian farmers recently said they had experienced severe weather in the last five years and ranked climate change among the top challenges facing the sector in the coming decade.

Solutions come with a hefty price tag. Building climate resilience on farms often depends on adopting new practices, said Max Hansgen, president of an NFU Ontario chapter. This may involve costly options like acquiring new equipment or hiring more labour. The changes would pay off in the long term, but in the interim farmers would need to raise product prices or increase production to make ends meet.

When combined with Trump’s tariffs, price increases to accommodate new practices could make farm products too expensive to sell. And increasing production without a viable market is “an obvious waste of capital,” said Hansgen.

“In an effort to remain competitively priced, farmers may opt to continue current practices to keep costs down.”

But the reverse could also be true for farms that are not reliant on export markets. If increased domestic demand created “the exact opposite economic conditions,” Hansgen added, it could help farmers invest in infrastructure changes that promote climate resilience.

“Proposed Canadian counter-tariffs and consumer sentiment could be a boon for producers who focus on the domestic market.”

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China’s big solar parks help battle desertification: Study https://energi.media/news/chinas-big-solar-parks-help-battle-desertification-study/ https://energi.media/news/chinas-big-solar-parks-help-battle-desertification-study/#respond Fri, 07 Feb 2025 19:34:16 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=65967 This article was published by The Energy Mix on Feb. 6, 2025. By Christopher Bonasia A recent study finds that solar farms may have “positive” ecological effects in China’s deserts, where efforts are under way [Read more]

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This article was published by The Energy Mix on Feb. 6, 2025.

By Christopher Bonasia

A recent study finds that solar farms may have “positive” ecological effects in China’s deserts, where efforts are under way to reverse desertification.

The findings indicate “the essential role played by the construction of photovoltaic power stations in ecological environmental governance in desert areas,” linked to impacts on “the microclimate and the soil, plant, and microbial communities in these regions.”

However, the solar park still exerts pressure on the land, and further improvements are needed to achieve optimal ecological conditions, the researchers say.

Published in the journal Nature, the study evaluates the ecological and environmental effects of a solar installation at China’s 64-square-kilometre Qinghai Gonghe Photovoltaic Park, located in Qinghai province on the Tibetan Plateau. In China, deserts cover about 25% of the land, with desertification affecting around 400 million people. Officials include Qinghai province among the regions “most severely impacted by desertification,” reports XinhuaNet.

Other research describes the region as “the cradle of Asian rivers and the habitat of rare species” that is “fragile and undergoing unprecedented changes with the process of climate warming.”

Amidst the push to address desertification, desert-based solar parks have drawn attention in China for their effect on the local environment. The panels influence the impacts of wind, sun, and moisture on the area’s ecology to promote plant growth and reduce erosion.

Other research has already described these changes, but the recent study aimed to establish a set of indicators to quantify them. The researchers used a Driving-Pressure-Status-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework, to help policymakers identify causes, effects, and solutions to environmental issues in a structured way.

The United States Environmental Protection Agency explains how the stages of a DPSIR framework measure:

• Drivers, often defined as “socio-economic sectors that fulfill human needs”;

• Pressures, or human activities spurred by the drivers, which “exert pressure” on the environment, like land use changes;

• Status, or changes to the state of the environment resulting from pressures;

• Impacts that reflect changes in the “quality or functioning of an ecosystem” that affects humans;

• Responses, or the decisions and actions of humans following from the impacts.

Within this framework, the researchers explain that the solar park’s development drove rising rates of population growth, urbanization, per capita GDP, and energy conservation. These indicators, which did not rise to a comparable degree in surrounding control areas, reflected job growth directly linked to the project and its integration with local agriculture, as well as the solar park’s contributions to energy conservation and decarbonization.

Pressures were measured by changes in the land surface’s radiation exposure and evaporation. Both indicators decreased, showing that the solar panels lowered how much these factors affected the environment. The state of the environment—measured by indicators linked to soil properties and microbial and plant growth—correspondingly indicated that the project had a “positive impact on the regulation of ecological and environmental effects,” the researchers found.

The changes affected ecosystem functions, shown by increases in indicators like available soil nutrients, above-ground organic matter, and soil carbon sequestration—an important measure, the researchers write, because the soil’s capacity to store carbon is important to climate mitigation.

The response measures from government and society showed higher regulatory capacity, environmental investment, photovoltaic value, and erosion control. The researchers say these measures indicate that measures are being taken to improve the site’s ecological and environmental conditions.

But despite these benefits, the ecological system remains under “tremendous pressure,” they warn. Lower scores for indicators like fungal abundance and daily photosynthetic radiation suggest that “more comprehensive response measures” are needed to enhance the region’s ecological health.

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Where and how is carbon dioxide stored in Canada? https://energi.media/news/where-and-how-is-carbon-dioxide-stored-in-canada/ https://energi.media/news/where-and-how-is-carbon-dioxide-stored-in-canada/#respond Thu, 09 Jan 2025 19:31:25 +0000 https://energi.media/?p=65720 This article was published by the Canada Energy Regulator on Jan. 8, 2025.  Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions can be reduced with carbon management practices, tools and other abatement, strategies(1), including technologies that remove, or re-use [Read more]

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This article was published by the Canada Energy Regulator on Jan. 8, 2025. 

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions can be reduced with carbon management practices, tools and other abatement, strategies(1), including technologies that remove, or re-use carbon dioxide (CO2).(2) CO2 is stored naturally in many forms (i.e. carbon sink)—in the ocean, in soils, and in trees—however these forms do not necessarily store CO2 permanently and might not pair directly to a CO2 production source(3). Artificial carbon sinks, like most carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) projects in operation today, inject CO2 into deep geological formations, which is a long-term, or permanent, way to store large quantities of CO2, preventing its release into the atmosphere.

Geological carbon storage traps injected CO2 in a similar way as oil and gas reservoirs. Geological carbon storage reservoirs can include saline (saltwater) aquifers, depleted oil and gas fields, mature oil fields(4)(5) or un-mineable coal seams(6) (Figure 1). Globally, most CCS projects are onshore; however, some offshore projects exist, injecting CO2 into sub-seabed geological formations.

What makes a good CO2 storage reservoir?

CO2 storage reservoirs are rock formations with interconnected pores—small holes and voids between mineral grains—that can be filled with CO2.

Figure 1: Diagram of onshore and offshore CO2 storage reservoirs

Source: IEA
Description: This infographic shows the structure of CO2 storage reservoirs in onshore and offshore locations. A CO2 storage reservoir has layers: the overburden (the top layer of rock and soil over the CO2 storage formation), the caprock (the layer of impermeable rock that seals the reservoir), the reservoir (a layer of porous and highly permeable rock that stores the CO2) and the lower caprock layer sealing the bottom of the reservoir. Injector wells inject CO2 in the reservoir, where the CO2 is stored permanently.

An ideal CO2 storage reservoir will have high porosity and high permeability, which will allow large volumes to be injected and stored in the reservoir over time. In addition to these properties, a suitable geological carbon storage reservoir needs to have the following(7):

  • Normal, or below-normal, reservoir pressure to allow higher CO2 injection rates.
  • Depth greater than 800 meters, where subsurface pressure is high enough to keep CO2 in its densest and most compressed state (supercritical state).
    • For example, non-EOR CO2 storage is required at least 1 kilometre below the surface in Alberta(8).
  • A configuration called “a trap” to contain the CO2 in the reservoir and prevent it from migrating.
  • Enough capacity to receive the planned annual volumes of injected CO2 over the life of the project (typically 20 years or more).

Since the 1970s, CO2 has been injected into older oil fields for enhanced oil recovery with CCS (EOR-CCS). In Canada and globally, EOR established the commercial viability of early CCS projects and helped create economic value for CO2, before carbon pricing policies, enabling some of the world’s first CCS projects. (Table 1)

Table 1: CO2 Storage Facilities operating in western Canada

Carbon Storage Facility Start Up Province CO2 Storage Location CO2 Source Annual CO2 Stored (MT/y) Estimated CO2 Total Storage (MT) Estimated CO2 Stored 2021 (MT) Facility Type Operator
Joffre 1982 AB Near Joffre NOVA Chemical Ethylene Plant,(Joffre AB) 0.02 5 1.5 EOR-CCS Whitecap Resources
Weyburn 2000 SK Near Midale SaskPower Boundary Dam Power Station (Estevan SK)
Great Plains Synfuel Plant (Beulah, ND)
2.0 75 – 115 34.0 EOR-CCS Whitecap Resources Table Note a
Midale 2005 SK Near Midale Great Plains Synfuel Plant (Beulah, ND) 0.19 32 5.0 EOR-CCS Cardinal Energy Table Note b
Chigwell 2007 AB Near Ponoka MEGlobal Prentiss 2 Ethylene Glycol Production facility (near Joffre, AB) Table Note * 3.7 Table Note * EOR-CCS AlphaBow Energy Table Note c
Aquistone 2009 SK Near Estevan SaskPower Boundary Dam Power Station (Estevan SK) Table Note * 34 0.4 Saline Aquifer Petroleum Technology Research Center (PTRC) Table Note d
Quest 2015 AB Near Thornhill Scotford Upgrader (near Edmonton, AB) 1.13 27 7.9 Saline Aquifer Shell Canada Ltd Table Note e
Clive 2020 AB Near Clive Agrium fertilizer plant (near Redwater, AB)
North West Sturgeon Refinery (near Redwater, AB)
1.4 12.4 – 18.8 2.2 EOR-CCS Enhance Energy Inc. Table Note f

Canada’s future CO2 storage potential

Western Canada’s potential for geological CO2 storage, without EOR, is significant. In a 2015 study by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Alberta has a medium estimate of 78.3 billion tonnes of CO2 storage, with Saskatchewan having an estimated 286.2 billion tonnes, Manitoba with 13.2 billion tonnes, and British Columbia with an estimated 1.87 billion tonnes(9). However, these estimates may be revised as more research is done. For example, a 2022 study by Geoscience BC(10) estimates that Northeast B.C. alone has a storage potential of 4.23 billion tonnes of CO2, more than four times the DOE’s 2015 estimate for the province. There is significant CO2 storage potential on Canada’s coasts as well: for example, the median estimate of CO2 storage offshore Nova Scotia is 177 billion tonnes(11). Canada’s wealth of CO2 storage capacity could theoretically store Canada’s annual CO2 emissions (708 million tonnes in 2022) for hundreds of years.

While EOR continues to offer a viable economic pathway for CCS in Canada, a growing number of projects under development are designed with dedicated geological storage, where CO2 is injected into a geological formation and stored without the production of oil. Currently, there are 11 CO2 storage facilities associated with CCS projects under development in western Canada (Table 2). Also, more than 25 new CCS projects were selected for evaluation by the Alberta government in 2022, with all of them either including carbon storage or relying on third party carbon storage.

Table 2: Canadian CCS projects with dedicated geological storage (modified from Global CCS Institute 2024)

Project name Province Project status Expected Operation date Project type Capacity in Million Tonnes per Year (Mtpa)
Whitecap Resources Southeast Saskatchewan Hub Saskatchewan In development 2024 CO2 Transport / Storage 4.2
Shell Atlas Carbon Storage Hub Alberta In construction 2025 CO2 Transport / Storage TBD
Shell Polaris (Scotford Complex) Alberta In construction 2025 Hydrogen and Chemicals 0.65
Wolf Lamont Carbon Hub Alberta In development 2025 CO2 Transport / Storage TBD
Entropy Glacier Gas Plant Phase 2 Alberta In construction 2026 Power Generation and Heat 0.16
Heidelberg Materials Edmonton Cement Plant Alberta In development 2026 Cement 1
Strathcona Resources Cold Lake CCS Hub Alberta In development 2026 Oil Refining 2.2
Heartland Generation Battle River Carbon Hub Alberta In development 2027 CO2 Transport / Storage TBD
Vault 44.01 Rocky Mountain Carbon Vault Alberta In development 2027 CO2 Transport / Storage 1.0 – 1.3
Varme Energy and Gibson CCS Alberta In development 2027 Waste-to-Energy 0.1
Pathways Alliance Oil Sands Pathways to Net Zero Alberta In development 2030 Oil and Gas Production TBD

 

Sources: Global CCS Institute (Global Status of CCS 2024), NRCan, Entropy IncHeidelberg Materials, decarbdonnect (Wolf Lamont Carbon HubStrathcona Cold Lake CCUS Hub), Heartland GenerationRocky Mountain CarbonGibson EnergyGovernment of CanadaShell.

In Canada, provinces have jurisdiction over their subsurface resources and regulate certain CCS activities, including geological CO2 storage:

  • Alberta has enacted a comprehensive regulatory framework for CCS. The Alberta Energy Regulator (AER) regulates facilities that capture CO2, CO2 pipelines, and subsurface operations to store CO2(12).
  • Saskatchewan’s Ministry of Energy and Resources regulates the development of CO2-dedicated underground storage in the province, as well as EOR-CCS(13).
  • The British Columbia government passed the Energy Statutes Amendment Act in 2022 updating its regulatory framework on CCS(14). The B.C. Energy Regulator (BCER) is responsible for the regulation of CCS activity, including CO2 storage(15).
  • On 4 June 2024, the Manitoba government passed the Captured Carbon Storage Act establishing a regulatory framework for licensing and operating CCS in the province(16).
  • Ontario is taking a phased approach to enabling and regulating carbon storage in the province. In March 2023 it removed the prohibition to develop underground carbon storage. In June 2023 the Ontario government enacted an amendment of the Oil, Gas and Salt Resources Act to enable “special projects” for carbon storage demonstration projects, which was followed with its corresponding regulations in January 2024(17). As of August 2024, the province is currently working on the design of a regulatory framework for commercial geologic carbon storage projects(18).

Footnotes

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